Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Aho 50.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 55.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.7%
Neutral zone
Point 51.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Point
Aho
Last 10: Point 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
Point
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
4
3
Point
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
49.9% (851)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
53.5% (144)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
43.3% (60)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
46.9% (243)
53.2% (554)
Away
46.4% (302)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
46.2%
49.1%
P2
45.9%
50.8%
P3
48.9%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |