Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Aho 53.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.4%
Defensive zone
Point 53.9%
Neutral zone
Point 59.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Point
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Point
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Point
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
51.2% (785)
-5.3%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
63.8% (213)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
57.9% (57)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
45.8% (286)
54.9% (548)
Away
45.5% (358)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
45.9%
52.8%
P2
48.8%
58.9%
P3
40.6%
50.6%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Brayden Point |