Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Point 54.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 61.5%
Neutral zone
Point 52.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Point
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
46.5% (101)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
33.3% (3)
+29.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
37.5% (8)
-4.2%
On power play, Point has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Point
Lorentz
Home
47.5% (356)
49.1% (53)
Away
54.6% (361)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Point
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
54.5%
36.7%
P3
48.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%