Brayden Point vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 79.7%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 57.0%
Neutral zone
Point 62.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Point
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Point
Lorentz
Last 8: Point 6-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
5
1
Point
Lorentz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Point
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
48.9% (1,118)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
50.0% (26)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
41.9% (86)
-3.4%
On power play, Point has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Lorentz is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Point
Lorentz
Home
49.1% (3,733)
50.8% (606)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Point
Lorentz
P1
46.8%
53.0%
P2
51.4%
46.8%
P3
48.0%
46.1%
OT
52.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |