Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Point 75.6%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 79.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.7%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Point
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
48.3% (497)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
63.6% (11)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
38.5% (39)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Point has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Point
Lorentz
Home
53.3% (394)
50.4% (238)
Away
48.4% (428)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Point
Lorentz
P1
49.8%
49.1%
P2
53.0%
48.0%
P3
49.6%
47.2%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%