Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Thompson 43.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 64.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 74.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Point
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Point
Thompson
Last 10: Point 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Point
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
8
Point
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
43.3% (735)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
50.0% (26)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
36.5% (52)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Point has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Point
Thompson
Home
53.3% (394)
44.5% (407)
Away
48.4% (428)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Point
Thompson
P1
49.8%
44.4%
P2
53.0%
44.8%
P3
49.6%
40.2%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |