Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Point
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Point
Thompson
Last 10: Point 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
3
Point
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
7
Point
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
9
8
Point
Thompson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
42.9% (3,521)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
46.8% (372)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
33.6% (265)
+4.9%
On power play, Point has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Point is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,071).
Point shoots right. Thompson is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Point
Thompson
Home
49.1% (3,733)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Point
Thompson
P1
46.8%
44.5%
P2
51.4%
43.6%
P3
48.0%
40.2%
OT
52.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |