Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 65.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 76.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Point
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Point
Thompson
Last 10: Point 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
2
Point
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
6
Point
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
4
0
Point
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
44.6% (709)
+1.3%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
41.5% (53)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
35.1% (97)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Point
Thompson
Home
45.8% (286)
45.5% (426)
Away
45.5% (358)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Point
Thompson
P1
45.9%
48.5%
P2
48.8%
43.8%
P3
40.6%
38.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |