Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Thompson 43.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 83.2%
Defensive zone
Point 69.0%
Neutral zone
Point 77.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Point
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Point
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
41.9% (597)
+5.9%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
50.5% (95)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
25.0% (12)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Point is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Point shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Point
Thompson
Home
49.7% (471)
47.1% (367)
Away
47.2% (415)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Point
Thompson
P1
46.6%
44.2%
P2
51.7%
41.6%
P3
46.5%
42.9%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |