Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.3%). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Nelson 47.5% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 67.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Schenn
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
46.9% (915)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
57.4% (94)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
25.0% (28)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nelson
Home
46.8% (494)
48.9% (521)
Away
46.3% (520)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Schenn
Nelson
P1
50.3%
45.9%
P2
47.0%
48.0%
P3
42.2%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%