Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Nelson 45.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Schenn
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Schenn
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
46.1% (735)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
34.5% (29)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
30.4% (23)
+17.3%
On power play, Schenn has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nelson
Home
55.6% (453)
48.7% (419)
Away
43.3% (467)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Schenn
Nelson
P1
48.4%
44.6%
P2
50.3%
47.3%
P3
50.8%
43.0%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |