Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs McDavid 48.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 57.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 56.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Schenn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Schenn
McDavid
Last 8: Schenn 7-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
46.9% (633)
+2.7%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
69.2% (26)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
45.5% (11)
-12.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
50.5% (333)
49.9% (353)
Away
47.8% (381)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
48.3%
46.6%
P2
52.2%
50.9%
P3
46.5%
45.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |