Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs McDavid 47.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 71.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 78.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Schenn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
47.7% (715)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
51.9% (52)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
22.2% (9)
+35.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
51.1% (575)
47.3% (387)
Away
53.4% (607)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
51.4%
47.6%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |