Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs McDavid 51.8% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Schenn 50.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 53.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Schenn
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
51.5% (889)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
63.9% (36)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
51.2% (86)
-5.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
46.8% (494)
50.7% (513)
Away
46.3% (520)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
50.3%
52.3%
P2
47.0%
51.6%
P3
42.2%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%