Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs McDavid 53.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 60.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Schenn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schenn
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
54.3% (1,002)
-5.6%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
44.8% (29)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
33.3% (15)
+6.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
49.0% (286)
53.6% (507)
Away
49.1% (293)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
47.7%
52.6%
P2
48.7%
54.1%
P3
51.4%
54.9%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |