Brayden Schenn vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 47.7%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs McDavid 47.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 30-16 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 50.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Schenn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
16
(46 meetings)
30
16
Schenn
McDavid
Last 10: Schenn 7-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
13
2
Schenn
McDavid
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
8
4
Schenn
McDavid
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
9
10
Schenn
McDavid
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
47.7% (8,358)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
52.0% (371)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
43.4% (279)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Schenn
McDavid
Home
49.7% (5,030)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Schenn
McDavid
P1
48.7%
46.5%
P2
48.6%
48.7%
P3
48.3%
48.3%
OT
50.9%
40.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |