Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Lazar 49.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 60.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 53.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Schenn
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Lazar
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Schenn
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Schenn
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
48.7% (302)
-1.1%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
44.4% (9)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
50.0% (54)
-2.3%
On power play, Schenn has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lazar
Home
55.6% (453)
49.2% (189)
Away
43.3% (467)
48.3% (176)
By Period
Schenn
Lazar
P1
48.4%
50.8%
P2
50.3%
45.2%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |