Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Lazar 51.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Schenn
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Schenn
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Schenn
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Schenn
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
51.4% (356)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
62.5% (8)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
47.2% (36)
+10.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lazar
Home
51.1% (575)
49.7% (163)
Away
53.4% (607)
52.3% (237)
By Period
Schenn
Lazar
P1
51.4%
46.9%
P2
52.7%
53.3%
P3
52.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |