Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.1%). Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Lazar 49.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 74.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Schenn
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Schenn
Lazar
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
2
Schenn
Lazar
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
8
Schenn
Lazar
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Lazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
50.2% (2,658)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
52.3% (65)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
41.9% (415)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lazar
Home
49.7% (5,030)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Schenn
Lazar
P1
48.7%
48.9%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
48.3%
49.5%
OT
50.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |