Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Lazar 58.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 67.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Schenn
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Lazar
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Schenn
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
63.8% (174)
-12.6%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
0.0% (1)
+63.6%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
56.3% (71)
+16.4%
On power play, Schenn has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lazar
Home
54.0% (367)
63.3% (128)
Away
53.3% (375)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Schenn
Lazar
P1
48.6%
64.6%
P2
52.0%
60.5%
P3
59.0%
59.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |