Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Carter 51.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 78.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 58.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 68.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Schenn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Carter
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Schenn
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Schenn
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
52.2% (552)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
56.4% (94)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
41.0% (100)
-7.7%
On power play, Carter has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Schenn is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Schenn shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carter
Home
50.5% (333)
51.2% (324)
Away
47.8% (381)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Schenn
Carter
P1
48.3%
49.8%
P2
52.2%
52.8%
P3
46.5%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |