Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Carter 56.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 80.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 83.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 83.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Schenn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Schenn
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Schenn
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Schenn
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Schenn
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
57.9% (885)
-9.2%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
61.7% (133)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
45.4% (119)
-5.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carter
Home
49.0% (286)
58.2% (543)
Away
49.1% (293)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Schenn
Carter
P1
47.7%
57.5%
P2
48.7%
57.1%
P3
51.4%
55.8%
OT
25.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |