Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 26-11 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 83.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 90.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 82.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Schenn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
26
(37 meetings)
11
26
Schenn
Carter
Last 10: Schenn 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
11
Schenn
Carter
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
9
Schenn
Carter
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
6
Schenn
Carter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
53.3% (8,728)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
57.3% (1,554)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
46.3% (1,087)
+2.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carter
Home
49.7% (5,030)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Schenn
Carter
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
48.6%
52.8%
P3
48.3%
53.1%
OT
50.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |