Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Carter 60.1% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 88.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 73.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 80.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Schenn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Schenn
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Schenn
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
65.6% (262)
-18.0%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
68.3% (63)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
50.5% (99)
-2.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carter
Home
55.6% (453)
64.3% (207)
Away
43.3% (467)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Schenn
Carter
P1
48.4%
65.3%
P2
50.3%
60.1%
P3
50.8%
63.8%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |