Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Carter 58.5% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 84.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 72.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Schenn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Carter
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Schenn
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Schenn
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
59.7% (727)
-14.1%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
68.1% (72)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
53.2% (139)
-7.1%
On power play, Carter has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carter
Home
46.8% (494)
58.7% (455)
Away
46.3% (520)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Schenn
Carter
P1
50.3%
61.3%
P2
47.0%
57.1%
P3
42.2%
59.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |