Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.0% vs Carter 49.0% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 52.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Schenn
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Carter
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Schenn
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (562)
49.6% (242)
+2.5%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
59.1% (22)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
40.0% (50)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Schenn is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Schenn shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carter
Home
54.3% (293)
48.6% (173)
Away
50.5% (315)
48.9% (141)
By Period
Schenn
Carter
P1
52.0%
52.1%
P2
49.1%
47.8%
P3
55.2%
46.6%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |