Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.2% vs 42.9%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 50.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
42.0% (407)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
51.2% (43)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (2)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
45.4% (324)
42.1% (202)
Away
41.3% (361)
43.6% (250)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
40.8%
43.3%
P2
47.3%
41.5%
P3
40.5%
44.2%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |