Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Schenn
MacKinnon
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Schenn
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
56.4% (94)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
40.0% (30)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
55.6% (453)
47.8% (670)
Away
43.3% (467)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
48.4%
45.3%
P2
50.3%
48.5%
P3
50.8%
45.0%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |