Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Schenn
MacKinnon
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Schenn
MacKinnon
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Schenn
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
44.7% (1,053)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
36.8% (95)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
65.0% (20)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
46.8% (494)
49.4% (553)
Away
46.3% (520)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
50.3%
45.3%
P2
47.0%
42.7%
P3
42.2%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |