Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 54.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 66.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
49.2% (1,266)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
54.9% (193)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
49.1% (55)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (575)
50.9% (740)
Away
53.4% (607)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
52.7%
51.8%
P3
52.7%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |