Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
50.0% (992)
+1.2%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
64.9% (148)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
34.4% (32)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
54.0% (367)
53.3% (591)
Away
53.3% (375)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
48.6%
49.9%
P2
52.0%
53.2%
P3
59.0%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |