Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Sturm 57.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 77.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 60.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Schenn
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schenn
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Schenn
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
62.1% (356)
-9.9%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
75.0% (4)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
38.7% (62)
+18.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Schenn
Sturm
Home
51.1% (575)
61.8% (191)
Away
53.4% (607)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Schenn
Sturm
P1
51.4%
58.0%
P2
52.7%
57.9%
P3
52.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |