Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 83.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 77.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Schenn
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Schenn
Sturm
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Schenn
Sturm
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
8
Schenn
Sturm
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
56.1% (716)
-10.5%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
67.7% (31)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
51.1% (133)
-5.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Schenn
Sturm
Home
46.8% (494)
55.6% (412)
Away
46.3% (520)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Schenn
Sturm
P1
50.3%
59.6%
P2
47.0%
52.0%
P3
42.2%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |