Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Sturm 56.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 92.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 77.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 86.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Schenn
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
23
(34 meetings)
11
23
Schenn
Sturm
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
7
5
Schenn
Sturm
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
6
Schenn
Sturm
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
12
Schenn
Sturm
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
57.1% (2,719)
-9.1%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
61.3% (62)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
51.0% (498)
-2.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Schenn
Sturm
Home
49.7% (5,030)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Schenn
Sturm
P1
48.7%
56.5%
P2
48.6%
54.9%
P3
48.3%
57.4%
OT
50.9%
60.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | OT | 01:30 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | OT | 00:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |