Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Sturm 59.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 75.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 64.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 72.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Schenn
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schenn
Sturm
Last 8: Schenn 2-6 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
4
Schenn
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Schenn
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
60.6% (708)
-13.0%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
61.1% (18)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
56.4% (101)
-8.7%
On even strength, Sturm has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Schenn
Sturm
Home
55.6% (453)
61.6% (451)
Away
43.3% (467)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Schenn
Sturm
P1
48.4%
55.9%
P2
50.3%
58.9%
P3
50.8%
64.6%
OT
22.2%
70.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | OT | 01:30 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | OT | 00:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |