Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.2% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 16-3 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 89.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 85.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 90.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Schenn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
16
(19 meetings)
3
16
Schenn
O'Reilly
Last 10: Schenn 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Schenn
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Schenn
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Schenn
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,112)
60.3% (1,517)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.7% (213)
61.5% (387)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
55.0% (220)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Schenn is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Schenn shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Schenn
O'Reilly
Home
50.5% (709)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
45.4% (665)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Schenn
O'Reilly
P1
50.5%
56.8%
P2
47.4%
64.6%
P3
46.6%
58.5%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | OT | 03:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |