Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Schenn
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
56.1% (690)
-10.5%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
64.6% (96)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
45.9% (109)
+0.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Schenn
O'Reilly
Home
46.8% (494)
58.3% (408)
Away
46.3% (520)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Schenn
O'Reilly
P1
50.3%
57.7%
P2
47.0%
54.8%
P3
42.2%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%