Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Schenn
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
56.6% (1,064)
-7.9%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
60.4% (260)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
54.0% (261)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Schenn
O'Reilly
Home
49.0% (286)
54.9% (801)
Away
49.1% (293)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Schenn
O'Reilly
P1
47.7%
58.0%
P2
48.7%
56.7%
P3
51.4%
55.4%
OT
25.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%