Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 54.5%). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Carrick 53.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 77.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
55.1% (439)
-3.9%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
66.7% (3)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
49.1% (53)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
54.0% (367)
58.2% (225)
Away
53.3% (375)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
48.6%
56.7%
P2
52.0%
52.8%
P3
59.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |