Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 86.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 55.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 63.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Carrick
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Schenn
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
53.8% (654)
-1.6%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
0.0% (2)
+51.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
63.9% (36)
-6.5%
On power play, Schenn has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
51.1% (575)
50.0% (328)
Away
53.4% (607)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
51.4%
56.7%
P2
52.7%
51.1%
P3
52.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |