Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.4%). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Carrick 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 60.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schenn
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Schenn
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
48.9% (352)
-0.2%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
81.3% (16)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
42.2% (45)
-2.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
49.0% (286)
46.9% (192)
Away
49.1% (293)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
47.7%
48.1%
P2
48.7%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |