Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 63.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 85.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
53.9% (521)
-6.3%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
57.1% (35)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
51.5% (229)
-3.8%
On even strength, Carrick has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
55.6% (453)
52.7% (408)
Away
43.3% (467)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
48.4%
51.4%
P2
50.3%
56.6%
P3
50.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |