Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 77.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
49.2% (307)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
66.7% (6)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
48.2% (56)
-2.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
46.8% (494)
50.3% (175)
Away
46.3% (520)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
50.3%
41.0%
P2
47.0%
51.2%
P3
42.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |