Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs Monahan 46.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 70.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Monahan
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
45.9% (908)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
49.1% (108)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
30.0% (20)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
45.4% (324)
48.7% (528)
Away
41.3% (361)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
40.8%
50.1%
P2
47.3%
44.7%
P3
40.5%
42.7%
OT
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |