Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.6%). Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Schenn
Monahan
Last 10: Schenn 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
1
Schenn
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
52.4% (853)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
58.6% (174)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
46.5% (144)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
51.1% (575)
53.4% (624)
Away
53.4% (607)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
51.4%
53.7%
P2
52.7%
52.4%
P3
52.7%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |