Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 72.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Schenn
Monahan
Last 5: Schenn 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
51.5% (641)
-2.8%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
62.8% (129)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
33.3% (9)
+6.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
49.0% (286)
53.9% (362)
Away
49.1% (293)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
47.7%
48.0%
P2
48.7%
57.0%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |