Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 51.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Schenn
Monahan
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Schenn
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
57.1% (871)
-9.5%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
53.1% (262)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
44.6% (139)
+3.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
55.6% (453)
55.3% (644)
Away
43.3% (467)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
48.4%
53.9%
P2
50.3%
55.3%
P3
50.8%
54.4%
OT
22.2%
76.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |