Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 50.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schenn
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
53.2% (823)
-2.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
55.3% (159)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
48.4% (95)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
54.0% (367)
54.6% (529)
Away
53.3% (375)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
48.6%
49.0%
P2
52.0%
55.4%
P3
59.0%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |