Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.2% vs Gourde 44.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 69.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 52.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Schenn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Gourde
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,112)
40.9% (279)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.7% (213)
58.3% (60)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
36.0% (25)
-1.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
50.5% (709)
45.5% (189)
Away
45.4% (665)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
50.5%
42.4%
P2
47.4%
48.3%
P3
46.6%
40.3%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |