Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 51.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Schenn
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
49.1% (731)
-0.4%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
54.3% (81)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
48.2% (85)
-8.2%
On power play, Schenn has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
49.0% (286)
50.9% (479)
Away
49.1% (293)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
47.7%
51.2%
P2
48.7%
49.8%
P3
51.4%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%